As the game has grown in popularity, so has its simulation techniques


Posted January 7, 2022 by Megaomgchen

As the game has grown in popularity, so has its simulation techniques
 
As the game has grown in popularity, so has its simulation techniques. Madden ratings -- the game's way of assigning skill points for each player was initially based on just 10 categories. Today, the system ranks players across 53 distinct dimensions, from acceleration to zone coverage. The rubric is a living, breathing rubric. The system is revised after every week during the NFL season, and the fans of the game pay close pay attention to the scores which are set.

In light of its influence on the culture, we wondered just how well Madden's ratings were. Are fans and players who obsess about scores using Madden as a substitute for ritual warfare and personal vanity Do the scores contain important information about player performance that analysts should look at with a critical eye? In other words, are ratings tethered to anything that is objective, or are they simply the thoughts of a few of nerds living in Silicon Valley?

The answer we found is that Madden ratings at the very least, the ones we looked at are very good. The Madden speed rating might be the best example. In the majority of positions, the most crucial trait that is important in Madden NFL is how quickly an individual player can run, which is why we'd expect the Madden rating team to invest quite a bit of effort into getting their speed scores to be accurate. We discovered.

We gathered data on player highest speed during their career, the previous season's average max speed per game, and current year's average max speed per game and combine 40-yard dash times, and then fed them into a multilevel model1 to predict weeks 9 Madden Speed Scores and had moderate success. Based on our findings, Madden game designers aren't merely making use of 40 times (which don't exist for all athletes in this league) to evaluate players, they're also using the data from the NFL's Next Gen Stats tracking data in a certain degree to determine their ratings.

They're being wise about it Also. Judging from the model and conversations with a source at EA, the Madden rating team weighs speed improvements in the current year more heavily than the previous year, and the model suggests that tight ends receive the highest score in comparison to their peers, closely followed by quarterbacks.

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Last Updated January 7, 2022